Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Root Cause

We hear a lot of discussion on the “Root Cause” of the current financial crisis. The common conclusion is that a large number of home foreclosures, funded primarily by sub-prime loans, caused a massive collapse of our banking and lending systems. People were buying houses they could not afford, but were coerced into high mortgages by low ‘teaser’ rates that were set to increase at a later date. Everyone involved knew the loans could not be repaid. The banks were counting on it. With home values increasing in leaps and bounds it didn’t matter. Once the period of the teaser rates was over, the value of the home would have increased substantially, allowing the owner to turn it over, pay off any bank fees, and still pocket a profit. Win-Win.

But the fact that buyers were purchasing homes they could not afford was not the real problem. Well, let me put it in a different way. The homes they were buying were drastically overpriced. THIS is the problem. While wages for the middle class have remained stagnant over the past 8 years, prices have been steadily increasing. But how is that possible? It undermines the basic concept of money and the financial system. In order for things to cost more, someone out there must be getting paid more. It wasn't me, and I'm pretty sure it wasn't you.

See, rather than pay the middle-class workers more of the company profits, the elites were pocketing the cash themselves, then investing that money into financials (and other markets) and lending it back to the middle-class so they could live with the standard of living they work for. Not only were the elites hauling in extra cash by failing to lift wages for workers, they were earning interest on the that money by lending it to the workers rather than actually paying them! And the middle-class bit. And here we are.

Oh, and it's a lot worse than you may think. See, you paid $300k for a house that was really only worth $150k. Someone at the top walked away with that extra $150k. That money did not dissappear. Now the foreclosed mortgages are causing the banks to take on massive losses, which are in turn being 'relieved' by the government. But the government is also broke. They get thier money by taxing the middle-class. So, not only are you out $150k on your house, but now, in addition to it, you're about to be forced to pay extra taxes to pay off the financial bailout of the very people who overcharged for your house in the first place.

7 comments:

Megan said...

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Anonymous said...

I really think the financial crisis has a lot more to do with unsound money. This type of meltdown isn't unprecedented and a collapse of the mortgage industry is simply one of several ways it can happen.

The cause of economic collpase is almost any instance is uncontrolled government spending enabled by central banks enabling governments to print limitless amounts of pretend money. While in Canada we have been hearing talk of how important a balanced budget is, (even this does not keep an economic collapse at bay with fiat currency) Americans have been saddled with deficit spending for eons now. Balanced budgets and controlled spending are kind of alien in an American system of government.

Cheers

The Capitalist said...

Oh, very true, but over-spending by government would not be present if the middle class was earning more and if tax laws were more balanced. You have taken it to the next level, while I was trying to display the starting point of the economic meltdown.

Deficits are not always bad. You may have to take out a loan to buid a manufacturing plant, but as long as the plant will enable production of solid value, the deficit will be paid off. The problem with the government is they take out the loan to build the plant, then give the plant to some rich dude (or a relative) at a fraction of the value that was required to build it. Then its up to the taxpaying middle class to pay off the debt that is left over!

Leon1234 said...

Hey, how are you doing? Hope all is well.

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